Daily Picks

UnitUp Bets

HR & Hits parlays built from real MLB stats and matchup data.

Saturday, September 5, 2026, parlays refresh at midnight
⚾ Today's MLB Matchups
SF
SF
58-84
@
NYM
64-77
NYM
Molina
Thornton
CHC
CHC
80-62
@
MIA
71-71
MIA
Assad
Gusto
ATL
ATL
84-57
@
PHI
79-62
PHI
PΓ©rez
Wheeler
DET
DET
64-77
@
CLE
72-70
CLE
Valdez
Messick
LAA
LAA
53-88
@
PIT
70-72
PIT
Kikuchi
Ashcraft
MIL
MIL
88-54
@
CIN
67-74
CIN
May
Abbott
BOS
BOS
77-65
@
BAL
69-73
BAL
Gray
Bassitt
TB
TB
84-57
@
TEX
70-72
TEX
Rasmussen
deGrom
TOR
TOR
71-71
@
KC
63-79
KC
Scherzer
Lugo
MIN
MIN
67-74
@
CWS
74-67
CWS
Bradley
Kay
ARI
ARI
74-68
@
HOU
73-69
HOU
Pfaadt
Pecko
NYY
NYY
80-61
@
SD
74-67
SD
RodΓ³n
Ray
STL
STL
71-71
@
COL
54-87
COL
Liberatore
Adams
WSH
WSH
67-76
@
LAD
84-57
LAD
Cavalli
Glasnow
OAK
OAK
56-86
@
SEA
66-76
SEA
Springs
Kirby
Our record Β· continuously learning
692 graded Β· 27.9% vs 35.7% base rate Β· -0.17u
View β†’

HR Grade Board

(20 graded)

A–F grades blending barrel power, pitcher matchup (HR/9 + handedness), 15-day form, ballpark factor, live weather (wind/temp), and "due" cycles. Top picks pinned below.

Confirmed in today's lineup Projected (lineup not posted yet)
C-
COLAdael Amador
COL β€’ STLvs Matthew Liberatore
Coors Field Β· 2 HR / 8G Β· 1.242 OPS
πŸ”₯ Hot: 1 HR in last 3G🎯 Pitcher allows 1.6 HR/9🏟️ HR park RHB (1.35)πŸͺ« Bottom of order (8-hole)πŸ’£ 10.50 AB/HR
no line
no line
C-
COLHunter Goodman
COL β€’ STLvs Matthew Liberatore
Coors Field Β· 36 HR / 121G Β· .850 OPS
πŸ”₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 10G🎯 Pitcher allows 1.6 HR/9🏟️ HR park RHB (1.35)πŸ’ͺ Heart of order (3-hole)πŸ’£ 12.56 AB/HR
no line
no line
C-
PITEsmerlyn Valdez
PIT β€’ LAAvs Yusei Kikuchi
PNC Park Β· 16 HR / 67G Β· .867 OPS
πŸ”₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 8G🎯 LHP allows 1.7 HR/9 to RHBβš”οΈ 1.067 OPS vs LHPπŸ” Leadoff slot (2)
no line
no line
C-
COLAdael AmadorSTL
2HR/8G1.242 OPSvs Matthew LiberatoreπŸ”₯ Hot: 1 HR in last 3G
C-
COLHunter GoodmanSTL
36HR/121G.850 OPSvs Matthew LiberatoreπŸ”₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 10G
C-
PITEsmerlyn ValdezLAA
16HR/67G.867 OPSvs Yusei KikuchiπŸ”₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 8G
C-
KCCarter JensenTOR
22HR/132G.759 OPSvs Max ScherzerπŸ”₯ Hot: 6 HR in last 13G
C-
ATLMichael Harris IIPHI
24HR/135G.822 OPSvs Zack WheelerπŸ”₯ Hot: 4 HR in last 13G
C-
PHIKyle SchwarberATL
40HR/135G.866 OPSvs MartΓ­n PΓ©rezπŸ”₯ Hot: 3 HR in last 13G
C-
MINRyan JeffersCWS
13HR/77G.870 OPSvs Anthony KayπŸ”₯ Hot: 3 HR in last 12G
C-
ARIKetel MarteHOU
21HR/121G.764 OPSvs Ethan PeckoπŸ”₯ Hot: 0 HR in last 3G
C-
NYMJuan SotoSF
23HR/90G.934 OPSvs Anthony MolinaπŸ”₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 6G
C-
ATLMatt OlsonPHI
37HR/141G.841 OPSvs Zack Wheeler🎯 RHP allows 1.6 HR/9 to LHB
C-
ATLDrake BaldwinPHI
22HR/118G.803 OPSvs Zack Wheeler🎯 RHP allows 1.6 HR/9 to LHB
C-
KCJac CaglianoneTOR
23HR/130G.823 OPSvs Max Scherzer🎯 RHP allows 1.8 HR/9 to LHB
C-
MIAKyle StowersCHC
18HR/104G.804 OPSvs Javier AssadπŸ”₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 10G
C-
PHIBryce HarperATL
27HR/141G.896 OPSvs MartΓ­n PΓ©rezπŸ”₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 13G
C-
SFJonah CoxNYM
4HR/42G.883 OPSvs Zac ThorntonπŸ”₯ Hot: 3 HR in last 13G
C-
COLJake McCarthySTL
14HR/126G.809 OPSvs Matthew Liberatore🎯 LHP allows 2.0 HR/9 to LHB
C-
PITRafael Flores Jr.LAA
7HR/31G.775 OPSvs Yusei Kikuchi🎯 LHP allows 1.7 HR/9 to RHB
C-
CINHΓ©ctor RodrΓ­guezMIL
5HR/23G.764 OPSvs Dustin MayπŸ”₯ Hot: 5 HR in last 11G
C-
COLTJ RumfieldSTL
15HR/137G.843 OPSvs Matthew Liberatore🎯 LHP allows 2.0 HR/9 to LHB
C-
CHCSeiya SuzukiMIA
24HR/124G.846 OPSvs Ryan Gusto🎯 RHP allows 1.6 HR/9 to RHB

No live prices available. Lines move.

πŸ’° Value Board1+ Hit parlays Β· +100 to +300

Individual 1+ Hit legs
C
PHILuis Arraez
1+ HitΒ·PHI ATLvs MartΓ­n PΓ©rez
no line
no book Β· fair -357
no line
πŸ’ͺ Heart of order (4)
Model: 78% Β· .316 AVG Β· .779 OPS
C
PITNick Gonzales
1+ HitΒ·PIT LAAvs Yusei Kikuchi
no line
no book Β· fair -336
no line
🎯 5.65 ERA armπŸ“Š .284 BAA vsπŸͺ¨ 0.639 OPS vs LHP
Model: 77% Β· .308 AVG Β· .766 OPS
C
SFJonah Cox
1+ HitΒ·SF NYMvs Zac Thornton
no line
no book Β· fair -482
no line
🧱 2.93 ERA armβš”οΈ 0.936 OPS vs LHPπŸ”₯ 1.114 OPS L13πŸ” Leadoff (1)
Model: 83% Β· .297 AVG Β· .883 OPS
C
ARIGabriel Moreno
1+ HitΒ·ARI HOUvs Ethan Pecko
no line
no book Β· fair -491
no line
🎯 6.23 ERA armπŸ’ͺ Heart of order (3)
Model: 83% Β· .299 AVG Β· .846 OPS
C
COLTJ Rumfield
1+ HitΒ·COL STLvs Matthew Liberatore
no line
no book Β· fair -305
no line
🎯 5.41 ERA armπŸ“Š .285 BAA vsπŸ”₯ 1.052 OPS L14πŸ’ͺ Heart of order (4)
Model: 75% Β· .295 AVG Β· .843 OPS
C
MINKaelen Culpepper
1+ HitΒ·MIN CWSvs Anthony Kay
no line
no book Β· fair -499
no line
πŸ” Leadoff (2)
Model: 83% Β· .301 AVG Β· .817 OPS
C
ATLMichael Harris II
1+ HitΒ·ATL PHIvs Zack Wheeler
no line
no book Β· fair -303
no line
πŸ”₯ 1.007 OPS L13πŸ’ͺ Heart of order (4)
Model: 75% Β· .294 AVG Β· .822 OPS
C
MIAOtto Lopez
1+ HitΒ·MIA CHCvs Javier Assad
no line
no book Β· fair -316
no line
πŸ’ͺ Heart of order (4)
Model: 76% Β· .300 AVG Β· .774 OPS
C
CHCPete Crow-Armstrong
1+ HitΒ·CHC MIAvs Ryan Gusto
no line
no book Β· fair -417
no line
βš”οΈ 0.940 OPS vs RHPπŸ”₯ 1.081 OPS L14πŸ” Leadoff (1)
Model: 81% Β· .280 AVG Β· .945 OPS
C
NYMJuan Soto
1+ HitΒ·NYM SFvs Anthony Molina
no line
no book Β· fair -406
no line
βš”οΈ 1.022 OPS vs RHPπŸ” Leadoff (2)
Model: 80% Β· .277 AVG Β· .934 OPS

Parlays combine legs assuming near-independence (no two from the same team) and are priced from the real prices above. Edge % = model probability minus the de-vigged book probability; negative values are shown as negative. Legs without a posted line are excluded from parlays. No live prices available. Lines move.

Filters
Stat Type
Risk Level

⚾ Today's Parlays (15 picks β€’ 15 games)

HR Hits
🎯 Singles Stack
⚑ Standard
STL @ COL β€’ ARI @ HOU β€’ SF @ NYM
+529$10 β†’ $63
COLAdael Amador(COL)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Matthew LiberatoreπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..381).381 AVG, 8 H1.242 OPS
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Brandon PfaadtπŸ’ͺ Elite OPS (1.035).317 AVG, 159 H1.035 OPS
SFTurner Hill(SF)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-120
vs Zac ThorntonπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..333).333 AVG, 16 H.864 OPS
πŸ’΅ Base Hit Builder
πŸ”₯ Risky
TOR @ KC β€’ BOS @ BAL β€’ ATL @ PHI β€’ TB @ TEX
+1200$10 β†’ $130
TORBrett Bateman(TOR)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Seth LugoπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..330).330 AVG, 31 H.784 OPS
BALBlaze Alexander(BAL)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Sonny GrayπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.316 AVG, 78 H.797 OPS
PHILuis Arraez(PHI)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs MartΓ­n PΓ©rezπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.316 AVG, 168 H.779 OPS
TBYandy DΓ­az(TB)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Jacob deGromπŸ’£ HR machine.306 AVG, 165 H.845 OPS
🧱 Contact Combo
⚑ Standard
WSH @ LAD β€’ SF @ NYM β€’ NYY @ SD
+550$10 β†’ $65
LADFreddie Freeman(LAD)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Cade CavalliπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.303 AVG, 155 H.844 OPS
SFJonah Cox(SF)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Zac ThorntonπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.297 AVG, 22 H.883 OPS
SDTy France(SD)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Carlos RodΓ³nπŸ’£ HR machine.295 AVG, 109 H.882 OPS
πŸ›‘οΈ Lock It In
⚑ Standard
SF @ NYM β€’ ATL @ PHI
+243$10 β†’ $34
SFTurner Hill(SF)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Zac ThorntonπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..333).333 AVG, 16 H.864 OPS
PHILuis Arraez(PHI)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs MartΓ­n PΓ©rezπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.316 AVG, 168 H.779 OPS
🧱 Foundation
⚑ Standard
BOS @ BAL β€’ SF @ NYM
+225$10 β†’ $33
BALBlaze Alexander(BAL)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Sonny GrayπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.316 AVG, 78 H.797 OPS
SFTurner Hill(SF)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Zac ThorntonπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..333).333 AVG, 16 H.864 OPS
πŸ’° Money Maker
⚑ Standard
BOS @ BAL β€’ ATL @ PHI β€’ TOR @ KC
+457$10 β†’ $56
BALBlaze Alexander(BAL)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Sonny GrayπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.316 AVG, 78 H.797 OPS
PHILuis Arraez(PHI)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs MartΓ­n PΓ©rezπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.316 AVG, 168 H.779 OPS
TORBrett Bateman(TOR)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Seth LugoπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..330).330 AVG, 31 H.784 OPS
πŸ‘‘ King's Court
⚑ Standard
CHC @ MIA β€’ ARI @ HOU
+518$10 β†’ $62
CHCPete Crow-Armstrong(CHC)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Ryan GustoπŸ’ͺ Elite OPS (.945)39 HR in 142 G.945 OPS
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Brandon PfaadtπŸ’ͺ Elite OPS (1.035).317 AVG, 159 H1.035 OPS
🎯 Sniper Special
🎯 Long Shot
STL @ COL β€’ CHC @ MIA β€’ SF @ NYM
+3605$10 β†’ $371
STLJoshua BΓ‘ez(STL)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Mason AdamsπŸ’£ HR machine6 HR in 20 G.819 OPS
CHCPete Crow-Armstrong(CHC)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Ryan GustoπŸ’ͺ Elite OPS (.945)39 HR in 142 G.945 OPS
SFTurner Hill(SF)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-160
vs Zac ThorntonπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..333).333 AVG, 16 H.864 OPS
πŸ’£ Bomb Squad
πŸš€ Moonshot
BOS @ BAL β€’ ARI @ HOU β€’ SF @ NYM
+8150$10 β†’ $825
BALBlaze Alexander(BAL)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-120
vs Sonny GrayπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.316 AVG, 78 H.797 OPS
ARIGabriel Moreno(ARI)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Ethan PeckoπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.299 AVG, 119 H.846 OPS
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs Brandon PfaadtπŸ’ͺ Elite OPS (1.035)37 HR in 140 G1.035 OPS
NYMJuan Soto(NYM)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+400
vs Anthony MolinaπŸ’ͺ Elite OPS (.934)23 HR in 90 G.934 OPS
πŸ’Ž Diamond Play
πŸš€ Moonshot
STL @ COL β€’ SF @ NYM β€’ ATL @ PHI
+17814$10 β†’ $1.8k
COLAdael Amador(COL)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+400
vs Matthew LiberatoreπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..381)2 HR in 8 G1.242 OPS
NYMJuan Soto(NYM)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+450
vs Anthony MolinaπŸ’ͺ Elite OPS (.934)23 HR in 90 G.934 OPS
PHIKyle Schwarber(PHI)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs MartΓ­n PΓ©rezπŸ’£ HR machine40 HR in 135 G.866 OPS
COLJake McCarthy(COL)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Matthew LiberatoreπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.289 AVG, 134 H.809 OPS
🎰 High Roller
πŸš€ Moonshot
LAA @ PIT β€’ TB @ TEX β€’ STL @ COL β€’ MIL @ CIN
+17814$10 β†’ $1.8k
PITEsmerlyn Valdez(PIT)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Yusei KikuchiπŸ’£ HR machine16 HR in 67 G.867 OPS
TBJunior Caminero(TB)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+400
vs Jacob deGromπŸ’£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.892 OPS
COLAdael Amador(COL)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Matthew LiberatoreπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..381).381 AVG, 8 H1.242 OPS
CINSal Stewart(CIN)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+450
vs Dustin MayπŸ’£ HR machine31 HR in 141 G.819 OPS
🎯 Sharpshooter
πŸš€ Moonshot
ARI @ HOU β€’ MIN @ CWS β€’ ATL @ PHI β€’ TB @ TEX β€’ STL @ COL
+128471$10 β†’ $12.9k
ARIGabriel Moreno(ARI)
βœ“ Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Ethan PeckoπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.299 AVG, 119 H.846 OPS
CWSMunetaka Murakami(CWS)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+400
vs Taj BradleyπŸ’£ HR machine29 HR in 106 G.827 OPS
ATLMatt Olson(ATL)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+400
vs Zack WheelerπŸ’£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.841 OPS
TBJunior Caminero(TB)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+400
vs Jacob deGromπŸ’£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.892 OPS
COLAdael Amador(COL)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Matthew LiberatoreπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..381)2 HR in 8 G1.242 OPS
πŸƒ Wild Card
πŸš€ Moonshot
SF @ NYM β€’ MIN @ CWS β€’ ATL @ PHI β€’ ARI @ HOU
+46070$10 β†’ $4.6k
NYMJuan Soto(NYM)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs Anthony MolinaπŸ’ͺ Elite OPS (.934)23 HR in 90 G.934 OPS
CWSMunetaka Murakami(CWS)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Taj BradleyπŸ’£ HR machine29 HR in 106 G.827 OPS
ATLMatt Olson(ATL)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Zack WheelerπŸ’£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.841 OPS
HOUYordan Alvarez(HOU)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs Brandon PfaadtπŸ’ͺ Elite OPS (1.035)37 HR in 140 G1.035 OPS
β˜„οΈ Comet Ride
πŸš€ Moonshot
TOR @ KC β€’ ATL @ PHI β€’ STL @ COL β€’ TB @ TEX β€’ MIN @ CWS
+29160$10 β†’ $2.9k
TORBrett Bateman(TOR)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100
vs Seth LugoπŸ”₯ Hot bat (..330).330 AVG, 31 H.784 OPS
PHIKyle Schwarber(PHI)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+400
vs MartΓ­n PΓ©rezπŸ’£ HR machine40 HR in 135 G.866 OPS
STLJoshua BΓ‘ez(STL)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+320
vs Mason AdamsπŸ’£ HR machine6 HR in 20 G.819 OPS
TBChandler Simpson(TB)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-120
vs Jacob deGromπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.311 AVG, 155 H.701 OPS
CWSColson Montgomery(CWS)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Taj BradleyπŸ’£ HR machine30 HR in 133 G.730 OPS
πŸ’« Galaxy Brain
πŸš€ Moonshot
TB @ TEX β€’ NYY @ SD β€’ STL @ COL β€’ LAA @ PIT β€’ ATL @ PHI
+356069$10 β†’ $35.6k
TBJunior Caminero(TB)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs Jacob deGromπŸ’£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.892 OPS
NYYBen Rice(NYY)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280
vs Robbie RayπŸ’£ HR machine36 HR in 135 G.875 OPS
STLJoshua BΓ‘ez(STL)
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500
vs Mason AdamsπŸ’£ HR machine6 HR in 20 G.819 OPS
PITRafael Flores Jr.(PIT)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs Yusei KikuchiπŸ’£ HR machine7 HR in 31 G.775 OPS
PHIKyle Schwarber(PHI)
βœ“ Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+350
vs MartΓ­n PΓ©rezπŸ’£ HR machine40 HR in 135 G.866 OPS
TBChandler Simpson(TB)
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-140
vs Jacob deGromπŸ“ˆ Hitting well.311 AVG, 155 H.701 OPS

No live prices available. Lines move.

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