Our record Β· continuously learning
692 graded Β· 27.9% vs 35.7% base rate Β· -0.17u
HR Grade Board
(20 graded)AβF grades blending barrel power, pitcher matchup (HR/9 + handedness), 15-day form, ballpark factor, live weather (wind/temp), and "due" cycles. Top picks pinned below.
Confirmed in today's lineup Projected (lineup not posted yet)
C-
COL β’ STLvs Matthew Liberatore
Coors Field Β· 2 HR / 8G Β· 1.242 OPS
π₯ Hot: 1 HR in last 3Gπ― Pitcher allows 1.6 HR/9ποΈ HR park RHB (1.35)πͺ« Bottom of order (8-hole)π£ 10.50 AB/HR
no line
no line
C-
COL β’ STLvs Matthew Liberatore
Coors Field Β· 36 HR / 121G Β· .850 OPS
π₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 10Gπ― Pitcher allows 1.6 HR/9ποΈ HR park RHB (1.35)πͺ Heart of order (3-hole)π£ 12.56 AB/HR
no line
no line
C-
PIT β’ LAAvs Yusei Kikuchi
PNC Park Β· 16 HR / 67G Β· .867 OPS
π₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 8Gπ― LHP allows 1.7 HR/9 to RHBβοΈ 1.067 OPS vs LHPπ Leadoff slot (2)
no line
no line
C-
2HR/8G1.242 OPSvs Matthew Liberatoreπ₯ Hot: 1 HR in last 3G
C-
36HR/121G.850 OPSvs Matthew Liberatoreπ₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 10G
C-
16HR/67G.867 OPSvs Yusei Kikuchiπ₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 8G
C-
22HR/132G.759 OPSvs Max Scherzerπ₯ Hot: 6 HR in last 13G
C-
24HR/135G.822 OPSvs Zack Wheelerπ₯ Hot: 4 HR in last 13G
C-
40HR/135G.866 OPSvs MartΓn PΓ©rezπ₯ Hot: 3 HR in last 13G
C-
13HR/77G.870 OPSvs Anthony Kayπ₯ Hot: 3 HR in last 12G
C-
21HR/121G.764 OPSvs Ethan Peckoπ₯ Hot: 0 HR in last 3G
C-
23HR/90G.934 OPSvs Anthony Molinaπ₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 6G
C-
37HR/141G.841 OPSvs Zack Wheelerπ― RHP allows 1.6 HR/9 to LHB
C-
22HR/118G.803 OPSvs Zack Wheelerπ― RHP allows 1.6 HR/9 to LHB
C-
23HR/130G.823 OPSvs Max Scherzerπ― RHP allows 1.8 HR/9 to LHB
C-
18HR/104G.804 OPSvs Javier Assadπ₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 10G
C-
27HR/141G.896 OPSvs MartΓn PΓ©rezπ₯ Hot: 2 HR in last 13G
C-
4HR/42G.883 OPSvs Zac Thorntonπ₯ Hot: 3 HR in last 13G
C-
14HR/126G.809 OPSvs Matthew Liberatoreπ― LHP allows 2.0 HR/9 to LHB
C-
7HR/31G.775 OPSvs Yusei Kikuchiπ― LHP allows 1.7 HR/9 to RHB
C-
5HR/23G.764 OPSvs Dustin Mayπ₯ Hot: 5 HR in last 11G
C-
15HR/137G.843 OPSvs Matthew Liberatoreπ― LHP allows 2.0 HR/9 to LHB
C-
24HR/124G.846 OPSvs Ryan Gustoπ― RHP allows 1.6 HR/9 to RHB
No live prices available. Lines move.
π° Value Board1+ Hit parlays Β· +100 to +300
Individual 1+ Hit legs
C
1+ HitΒ·PHI ATLvs MartΓn PΓ©rez
no line
no book Β· fair -357
no line
πͺ Heart of order (4)
Model: 78% Β· .316 AVG Β· .779 OPS
C
1+ HitΒ·PIT LAAvs Yusei Kikuchi
no line
no book Β· fair -336
no line
π― 5.65 ERA armπ .284 BAA vsπͺ¨ 0.639 OPS vs LHP
Model: 77% Β· .308 AVG Β· .766 OPS
C
1+ HitΒ·SF NYMvs Zac Thornton
no line
no book Β· fair -482
no line
π§± 2.93 ERA armβοΈ 0.936 OPS vs LHPπ₯ 1.114 OPS L13π Leadoff (1)
Model: 83% Β· .297 AVG Β· .883 OPS
C
1+ HitΒ·ARI HOUvs Ethan Pecko
no line
no book Β· fair -491
no line
π― 6.23 ERA armπͺ Heart of order (3)
Model: 83% Β· .299 AVG Β· .846 OPS
C
1+ HitΒ·COL STLvs Matthew Liberatore
no line
no book Β· fair -305
no line
π― 5.41 ERA armπ .285 BAA vsπ₯ 1.052 OPS L14πͺ Heart of order (4)
Model: 75% Β· .295 AVG Β· .843 OPS
C
1+ HitΒ·MIN CWSvs Anthony Kay
no line
no book Β· fair -499
no line
π Leadoff (2)
Model: 83% Β· .301 AVG Β· .817 OPS
C
1+ HitΒ·ATL PHIvs Zack Wheeler
no line
no book Β· fair -303
no line
π₯ 1.007 OPS L13πͺ Heart of order (4)
Model: 75% Β· .294 AVG Β· .822 OPS
C
1+ HitΒ·MIA CHCvs Javier Assad
no line
no book Β· fair -316
no line
πͺ Heart of order (4)
Model: 76% Β· .300 AVG Β· .774 OPS
C
1+ HitΒ·CHC MIAvs Ryan Gusto
no line
no book Β· fair -417
no line
βοΈ 0.940 OPS vs RHPπ₯ 1.081 OPS L14π Leadoff (1)
Model: 81% Β· .280 AVG Β· .945 OPS
C
1+ HitΒ·NYM SFvs Anthony Molina
no line
no book Β· fair -406
no line
βοΈ 1.022 OPS vs RHPπ Leadoff (2)
Model: 80% Β· .277 AVG Β· .934 OPS
Parlays combine legs assuming near-independence (no two from the same team) and are priced from the real prices above. Edge % = model probability minus the de-vigged book probability; negative values are shown as negative. Legs without a posted line are excluded from parlays. No live prices available. Lines move.
Filters
Stat Type
Risk Level
βΎ Today's Parlays (15 picks β’ 15 games)
HR Hits
π― Singles Stack
β‘ Standard
STL @ COL β’ ARI @ HOU β’ SF @ NYM
+529$10 β $63
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140vs Matthew Liberatoreπ₯ Hot bat (..381).381 AVG, 8 H1.242 OPS
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs Brandon Pfaadtπͺ Elite OPS (1.035).317 AVG, 159 H1.035 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-120vs Zac Thorntonπ₯ Hot bat (..333).333 AVG, 16 H.864 OPS
π΅ Base Hit Builder
π₯ Risky
TOR @ KC β’ BOS @ BAL β’ ATL @ PHI β’ TB @ TEX
+1200$10 β $130
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs Seth Lugoπ₯ Hot bat (..330).330 AVG, 31 H.784 OPS
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs Sonny Grayπ Hitting well.316 AVG, 78 H.797 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-160vs MartΓn PΓ©rezπ Hitting well.316 AVG, 168 H.779 OPS
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs Jacob deGromπ£ HR machine.306 AVG, 165 H.845 OPS
π§± Contact Combo
β‘ Standard
WSH @ LAD β’ SF @ NYM β’ NYY @ SD
+550$10 β $65
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs Cade Cavalliπ Hitting well.303 AVG, 155 H.844 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs Zac Thorntonπ Hitting well.297 AVG, 22 H.883 OPS
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160vs Carlos RodΓ³nπ£ HR machine.295 AVG, 109 H.882 OPS
π‘οΈ Lock It In
β‘ Standard
SF @ NYM β’ ATL @ PHI
+243$10 β $34
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140vs Zac Thorntonπ₯ Hot bat (..333).333 AVG, 16 H.864 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs MartΓn PΓ©rezπ Hitting well.316 AVG, 168 H.779 OPS
π§± Foundation
β‘ Standard
BOS @ BAL β’ SF @ NYM
+225$10 β $33
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160vs Sonny Grayπ Hitting well.316 AVG, 78 H.797 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs Zac Thorntonπ₯ Hot bat (..333).333 AVG, 16 H.864 OPS
π° Money Maker
β‘ Standard
BOS @ BAL β’ ATL @ PHI β’ TOR @ KC
+457$10 β $56
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-140vs Sonny Grayπ Hitting well.316 AVG, 78 H.797 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs MartΓn PΓ©rezπ Hitting well.316 AVG, 168 H.779 OPS
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160vs Seth Lugoπ₯ Hot bat (..330).330 AVG, 31 H.784 OPS
π King's Court
β‘ Standard
CHC @ MIA β’ ARI @ HOU
+518$10 β $62
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+280vs Ryan Gustoπͺ Elite OPS (.945)39 HR in 142 G.945 OPS
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-160vs Brandon Pfaadtπͺ Elite OPS (1.035).317 AVG, 159 H1.035 OPS
π― Sniper Special
π― Long Shot
STL @ COL β’ CHC @ MIA β’ SF @ NYM
+3605$10 β $371
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280vs Mason Adamsπ£ HR machine6 HR in 20 G.819 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+500vs Ryan Gustoπͺ Elite OPS (.945)39 HR in 142 G.945 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-160vs Zac Thorntonπ₯ Hot bat (..333).333 AVG, 16 H.864 OPS
π£ Bomb Squad
π Moonshot
BOS @ BAL β’ ARI @ HOU β’ SF @ NYM
+8150$10 β $825
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-120vs Sonny Grayπ Hitting well.316 AVG, 78 H.797 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs Ethan Peckoπ Hitting well.299 AVG, 119 H.846 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350vs Brandon Pfaadtπͺ Elite OPS (1.035)37 HR in 140 G1.035 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+400vs Anthony Molinaπͺ Elite OPS (.934)23 HR in 90 G.934 OPS
π Diamond Play
π Moonshot
STL @ COL β’ SF @ NYM β’ ATL @ PHI
+17814$10 β $1.8k
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+400vs Matthew Liberatoreπ₯ Hot bat (..381)2 HR in 8 G1.242 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+450vs Anthony Molinaπͺ Elite OPS (.934)23 HR in 90 G.934 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+280vs MartΓn PΓ©rezπ£ HR machine40 HR in 135 G.866 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140vs Matthew Liberatoreπ Hitting well.289 AVG, 134 H.809 OPS
π° High Roller
π Moonshot
LAA @ PIT β’ TB @ TEX β’ STL @ COL β’ MIL @ CIN
+17814$10 β $1.8k
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+280vs Yusei Kikuchiπ£ HR machine16 HR in 67 G.867 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+400vs Jacob deGromπ£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.892 OPS
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140vs Matthew Liberatoreπ₯ Hot bat (..381).381 AVG, 8 H1.242 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+450vs Dustin Mayπ£ HR machine31 HR in 141 G.819 OPS
π― Sharpshooter
π Moonshot
ARI @ HOU β’ MIN @ CWS β’ ATL @ PHI β’ TB @ TEX β’ STL @ COL
+128471$10 β $12.9k
β Confirmed
Hits
Over 0.5-140vs Ethan Peckoπ Hitting well.299 AVG, 119 H.846 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+400vs Taj Bradleyπ£ HR machine29 HR in 106 G.827 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+400vs Zack Wheelerπ£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.841 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+400vs Jacob deGromπ£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.892 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+500vs Matthew Liberatoreπ₯ Hot bat (..381)2 HR in 8 G1.242 OPS
π Wild Card
π Moonshot
SF @ NYM β’ MIN @ CWS β’ ATL @ PHI β’ ARI @ HOU
+46070$10 β $4.6k
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+350vs Anthony Molinaπͺ Elite OPS (.934)23 HR in 90 G.934 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500vs Taj Bradleyπ£ HR machine29 HR in 106 G.827 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+280vs Zack Wheelerπ£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.841 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350vs Brandon Pfaadtπͺ Elite OPS (1.035)37 HR in 140 G1.035 OPS
βοΈ Comet Ride
π Moonshot
TOR @ KC β’ ATL @ PHI β’ STL @ COL β’ TB @ TEX β’ MIN @ CWS
+29160$10 β $2.9k
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5+100vs Seth Lugoπ₯ Hot bat (..330).330 AVG, 31 H.784 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+400vs MartΓn PΓ©rezπ£ HR machine40 HR in 135 G.866 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+320vs Mason Adamsπ£ HR machine6 HR in 20 G.819 OPS
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-120vs Jacob deGromπ Hitting well.311 AVG, 155 H.701 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280vs Taj Bradleyπ£ HR machine30 HR in 133 G.730 OPS
π« Galaxy Brain
π Moonshot
TB @ TEX β’ NYY @ SD β’ STL @ COL β’ LAA @ PIT β’ ATL @ PHI
+356069$10 β $35.6k
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+350vs Jacob deGromπ£ HR machine37 HR in 141 G.892 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+280vs Robbie Rayπ£ HR machine36 HR in 135 G.875 OPS
~ Projected
HR
Over 0.5+500vs Mason Adamsπ£ HR machine6 HR in 20 G.819 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+350vs Yusei Kikuchiπ£ HR machine7 HR in 31 G.775 OPS
β Confirmed
HR
Over 0.5+350vs MartΓn PΓ©rezπ£ HR machine40 HR in 135 G.866 OPS
~ Projected
Hits
Over 0.5-140vs Jacob deGromπ Hitting well.311 AVG, 155 H.701 OPS
No live prices available. Lines move.
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