The Engine
What is actually under the board. Every number on this page comes out of the live system, not a slide.
Real prices, not vibes
Odds are pulled from US sportsbooks every 30 minutes for every game inside seven days. The best price and the book's name sit on every leg, so you know exactly what you are being asked to take.
Every player's own base rate
The last 17 games for NFL and the current season for MLB, measured against the exact line the book is posting today. Not a season average. Not a narrative.
A model that knows when it's wrong
Every pick is logged before kickoff and graded after. The calibration layer refits nightly on the graded history, so the number on the card means what it says. Until a market has 30 graded picks, the card shows the base rate instead of a model score.
Graded in public, at the price we posted
Wins, losses and units at book price, on the record page, forever. Nothing gets deleted. See the record.
Closing line value
We record where the line closed and whether we beat it. Beating the close is the clearest sign the price was wrong when we took it.
Why we show the losses
Every tout on the internet shows you the wins. The books know exactly how good they are, and so should you. If this system stops beating the base rates, you will see it here before we do.